Phenomena and mutual events of Saturn's satellites
- Most phenomena of Saturn's satellites are seasonal. Transits, eclipses by the globe and mutual eventsmutual eventAn occultation of one natural satellite by another as seen from the Earth, or an eclipse of one satellite by another's shadow as seen from the Sun. Such events happen only for months around a planet's equinox, when the Earth or the Sun lies close to the satellites' orbital plane. of Mimas to Titan happen only near a ring-plane crossingring-plane crossingThe passage of the Earth or the Sun through the plane of Saturn's rings, which is Saturn's equatorial plane. An Earth crossing turns the rings edge-on to us. A Sun crossing is Saturn's equinox and puts the satellites' shadows in their common orbital plane.. Sun crossings came on 1995 November 19, 2009 August 10 and 2025 May 6, intervals of 13.72 and 15.74 years 1 2 3.
- Iapetus is the exception. Its orbit is inclined by about 15 degrees, so it is eclipsed by the globe and the rings only when Saturn is near one of its nodes, as in 1993 4.
- Published times refer to the satellite's centre. The tables of the Institut de mécanique céleste et de calcul des éphémérides (IMCCE) give the instant the centre crosses the limb or shadow edge. Contact to contact takes 14 s for Mimas and 450 s for Titan on an equatorial track 5.
- An eclipse is computed as an occultation of the Sun seen from the eclipsed satellite, with light-time from the Sun to that satellite, and contacts are taken with both the penumbral and umbral cones 6 7.
- Mutual events are the most precise ground-based astrometry of these satellites. The 2009 campaign gave 26 usable light curves and residuals of about 20 milliarcseconds, against 0.1 arcseconds, about 600 km, for direct imaging 8 7.
- Prediction accuracy is set by the ephemeris. Times of maximum from TASS and from JPL's SAT252 differed by 10 to 30 s in 2009. For Iapetus's ring eclipse in 1993 two element sets differed by 11 to 32 minutes 7 4.
- Public tools simplify the planet. JPL Horizons uses the equatorial radius with no oblateness or atmosphere and warns that satellite eclipse times may be off by a minute. None of Horizons, SPICE and Stellarium models the rings' optical depth 9 10 11.
The question. Which phenomena of Saturn's satellites can be observed, when do they occur, how are their start and end instants defined and computed, and what accuracy do the published predictions and observations reach? The satellite theories behind these predictions are compared in the theories note. The shared geometry with the Galilean satellites is in the Jupiter satellite topic.
The phenomena
IMCCE's 1996 booklet lists the phenomena "similar to the well known phenomena of the Galilean satellites of Jupiter" 5:
- Eclipses by Saturn, when a satellite enters the planet's shadow. The booklet codes the start and end as Ed and Ef 5.
- Occultations by Saturn, when a satellite passes behind the globe, coded Im for immersion and Em for emersion 5.
- Transits, a satellite crossing in front of the disc, coded Pd and Pf 5.
- Shadow transitsshadow transitThe passage of a satellite's shadow across the disc of its planet, seen as a small dark spot on the cloud tops. It is fixed by the Sun's direction, like an eclipse, and its contacts are the shadow's contacts with the planet's limb., a satellite's shadow crossing the disc, coded Od and Of 5.
- Mutual occultations, "the arrival of the disk of the occulting satellite on that of the occulted satellite" 7.
- Mutual eclipses, "the arrival of the eclipsed satellite in the shadow cone of the eclipsing satellite", which can be partial, annular or total 7.
- Eclipses by the rings, mainly of Iapetus, whose orbit lets it pass through the ring shadow away from the planet 4.
Arlot and Thuillot judge the science value of each type differently. Eclipses by the planet's shadow give positions whose accuracy is "similar to what is obtained with direct astrometric imaging". The planet's atmosphere degrades the timing, and the rings may pollute the photometry 7. Occultations by the planet and transits "are difficult to analyze because it is impossible to model the figure of the planet with sufficient accuracy" 7. Shadow transits "are not scientifically interesting but the transits of the shadow of Titan are spectacular" 7. Mutual events are the valuable ones, because the satellites except Titan have no atmosphere 7.
When they occur: ring-plane crossings and the equinox
The orbits of Mimas to Titan lie close to Saturn's equatorial plane. That plane is the ring plane. Mutual occultations therefore need the Earth near that plane, and mutual eclipses need the Sun near it 7. "These planes correspond closely to the equatorial plane of Saturn. This occurrence takes place at the equinox on Saturn" 7. The planetary equinoxplanetary equinoxThe instant when the Sun crosses a planet's equatorial plane, so that the planetocentric declination of the Sun is zero. For Saturn and Uranus it is the centre of the season of mutual satellite events. is the Sun's crossing.
The Earth crosses the ring plane once or three times near each equinox. Seen from Saturn the Earth stays within a few degrees of the Sun. In 1995 to 1996 it was "up to 2.5 degrees above the ring plane while the sun is in or below the plane" 1. The dates on record are 1 7 2 12 3 13:
| Season | Earth crossings | Sun crossing (equinox) |
|---|---|---|
| 1995 to 1996 | 1995 May 21, 1995 Aug 11, 1996 Feb 11 | 1995 Nov 19 |
| 2009 | 2009 Sep 4 | 2009 Aug 10 (Arlot and Thuillot predicted Aug 12) |
| 2025 | 2025 Mar 23 | 2025 May 6 (IMCCE gives May 7) |
NASA gives the 2009 Sun crossing as August 10 2 12. Arlot and Thuillot's 2008 prediction paper gives August 12 7. The intervals between Sun crossings are 13.72 years and 15.74 years, computed from the dates in the table's first position. Their sum, 29.46 years, is about one Saturnian year of 10,746.94 days, or 29.42 years 14. The two halves differ because Saturn's orbit is eccentric, with 14. IMCCE's own texts round both to "every 15 years" 8 5.
The circumstances of a season depend on where Saturn is relative to the Sun. 1995 was favourable, with "the solar crossing and one of three earth crossings occuring within two months of opposition" 1. In 2009 the equinox came "near the conjunction Saturn-Sun", so observations were possible "only before and after the equinox" 7. In 2025 the Earth crossing came eleven days after the solar conjunction of March 12 3. IMCCE predicted that the Saturnian mutual phenomena of this season would run from May 2024 to February 2026. It expected worse conditions than for Jupiter's 2026 equinox "due to the distance separating the equinox of the conjunction" 13.
Between an Earth crossing and a Sun crossing the two lie on opposite sides of the ring plane. The Earth then sees the unlit face, so the rings almost vanish. The 1995 periods were May 21 to August 11 and November 19 to February 11 1. The 2025 period was March 23 to May 6 3.
Shadow transits of Titan. Titan's orbit is inclined about 0.3 degrees to the equator 5. Its shadow therefore reaches the disc only for a year or so around each equinox. In 2009 shadow transits ran from 2009 February 24 to 2010 January 9 7. In 2025 observers of the British Astronomical Association (BAA) recorded Titan shadow transits on May 15 and 31, June 16, July 2 and 18, August 3 and 19, and September 4 and 20 3. These are 16-day steps, Titan's period of 15.945 days 5. The May 15 shadow transit lasted from 09:34 to 15:42 UT 3.
Geometry of an event
The shadows
The shadow cones of Saturn and of each satellite are built like the Moon's in a solar eclipse. An inner umbraumbraThe cone of the Moon's shadow within which the Sun is completely hidden. Where the umbra reaches the ground the eclipse is total. cone and an outer penumbrapenumbraThe outer part of the Moon's shadow within which the Sun is only partly hidden. Any place inside the penumbra sees at least a partial eclipse. cone come from the tangents to the Sun and the body (see shadow coneshadow coneThe umbral or penumbral cone tangent to both Sun and Moon, characterised by its half-angle whose tangent appears in the Besselian elements as and . and the fundamental plane note). By similar triangles, the length of Saturn's umbra is , with Saturn's radius, the Sun's radius and the Sun-Saturn distance. With km, km and au this is about km, or 2,240 Saturn radii 14 4. Every satellite out to Iapetus at about 59 Saturn radii is far inside it 15. The Sun's angular radius at 9.54 au is 696,000 km divided by the distance, about 100.6 arcseconds. Over Titan's 1.22 million km from Saturn the penumbra is therefore about 1,190 km wide. These figures follow from the cited constants by the same similar-triangle construction.
Because Saturn is oblate, its shadow's cross-section is an ellipse whose shape depends on , the Sun's ring-opening angle from the theories note. Soma took Saturn's "size and shape" from Davies et al. (1989) and the ring dimensions from Esposito et al. (1984) 4.
Light-time and the eclipse convention
Arlot, Lainey and Thuillot state the convention for mutual events: "For the eclipses, we do not consider that they are occultations as seen from the Sun because of the light-time, but that they are occultations of the Sun as seen from the eclipsed satellites. Therefore, we calculate the first and last contacts of the eclipsed satellite with the penumbral and umbral cones and the time of the minimum distance to the axis of the cones" 6. The relative positions are "calculated carefully taking the light-time into account" 6.
For an occultation the light-timelight-timeThe travel time of light to the observer, about 499 seconds from the Sun and 1.3 seconds from the Moon. A reception correction evaluates the target at emission time and the observer at reception time. Observer aberration is separate. runs from the satellites to the Earth. For an eclipse it runs from the Sun to the eclipsed satellite, and then the event is seen on the Earth one further light-time later. The difference matters. Meeus's light-time constant is 0.0057755183 days per au 15. Saturn is 1,205.5 to 1,658.6 million km, or 8.06 to 11.09 au, from the Earth 14. Light therefore takes 67 to 92 minutes, and Titan, at about 5.6 km/s, moves over 20,000 km in that time. The eclipse geometry must therefore use the eclipsing body's position at the instant the sunlight passed it, not at the Earth's reception time. NAIF documents how SPICE applies these corrections (16).
Start, end and maximum
Two definitions are in use, and a product must state which it uses.
Centre-based instants (phenomena by the planet). IMCCE's booklet says: "These computations are made with no consideration of the diameter of the satellites but concern their center: these dates are the dates of the mid events" 5. It adds that on an equatorial apparent track the interval from first to last contact "is from 14s for Mimas (S1) up to 450s for Titan (S6)" 5. The 2009 tables of eclipses by Saturn give the instant of maximum and a "half-duration", "the time needed for the half-disappearance or reappearance of the satellite in seconds of time". For Titan in 2009 the half-duration ranged from 476 s to 1,440 s 7. The long values arise when the track is oblique to the shadow edge.
Contact-based instants (mutual events). For each mutual eclipse the 2009 tables give 7:
- the beginning of the eclipse by the penumbra,
- the beginning of the eclipse by the umbra, or of an occultation,
- the beginning of totality for total events,
- the maximum, from TASS and from the Do93 ephemeris,
- the end of totality, the end of the umbral eclipse or occultation, and the end of the penumbral eclipse,
- the flux dropflux dropThe fraction of a satellite's light lost at the deepest point of an occultation or eclipse, from 0 for no loss to 1 for total disappearance. IMCCE tables give it beside the equivalent magnitude drop. in V, with and without the satellites' albedos, and the magnitude drop,
- the duration in seconds, excluding the penumbral phase,
- the distance of the eclipsed satellite from Saturn's centre in Saturn radii,
- the impact parameterimpact parameterThe smallest apparent distance during a mutual event between the centres of two satellites in an occultation, or between an eclipsed satellite and the axis of the other's shadow cone in an eclipse. Zero is a central event. in arcseconds.
All times are in Terrestrial TimeTerrestrial Time (TT)The uniform time scale of the ephemerides and of the Besselian elements, equal to TAI + 32.184 s. Older eclipse tables call it TDT, TD or Ephemeris Time (ET). Elements are computed in TT and converted to UT1 with ΔT before any Earth rotation is applied. "since the UTC for this period is not yet available". The authors note TT − UTC "near 65 s in 2009" 7. The 1996 booklet tells users to subtract 62 seconds to get UT 5. The flux drop runs from 0, no loss, to 1, total disappearance 7. The albedos used for it were Morrison and Morrison's, with Mimas 0.77, Enceladus 1.04, Tethys 0.80, Dione 0.55, Rhea 0.65, Titan 0.20 and Hyperion 0.25 7.
Selecting events worth listing
Of 441 mutual events predicted for 2008 September 9 to 2010 June 18, Arlot and Thuillot printed 123 "easily observable" ones. Those occurred more than one Saturn radius from the limb, outside the ring, and had a magnitude drop over 10 per cent 7. Eclipses by Saturn were listed only when more than 10 arcseconds from the limb and with Saturn more than 10 degrees from the Sun 7. An event counted as observable from a site when the Sun was more than 10 degrees below the horizon and Saturn more than 15 degrees above it 7. The 1996 booklet starred events within 30 degrees of the Sun or 5 degrees of the Moon, eclipses within 4 arcseconds of Saturn's limb, mutual events within 0.5 Saturn radius of the limb, and flux drops under 0.005 5.
Grazing events are uncertain by nature. "A difference of a few tenths of an arcsecond ... in the relative positions of the satellites may determine whether the event will occur or not" 7. An event that is grazing in one ephemeris may be missing or deep in another. Its observation then tests the ephemeris directly.
Eclipses by the rings and the Iapetus case
Iapetus's orbit is inclined "at about 15°" to Saturn's orbital plane, so "these events can take place only when Saturn is near one of the nodes of the satellite's orbit, i.e. the eclipses occur every 15 years" 4. Soma's 1993 predictions give the sequence of a ring eclipse in full. On 1993 May 1 to 2, Iapetus was to enter ring A, leave it, enter ring B, enter ring C, leave C, enter Saturn's shadow, and then repeat the sequence in reverse after leaving the globe's shadow 4. Barnard had observed the 1889 November 2 event visually. Reitsema recorded the 1977 October 19 event photometrically "from the immersion into the A ring to the passage of the Encke division" 4.
Soma's method follows Peters (1975) for mid-eclipse times, the "half-brightness points". It takes penumbral durations from the Sun's angular diameter seen from Iapetus with a solar radius of 696,000 km, uses DE200 for Saturn and the Earth, and predicts in UT with TD − UT = +59 s for 1993 4. The two element sets used, Taylor and Shen (1988) and Dourneau (1987), gave mid-eclipse times 11 to 32 minutes apart. Soma noted that "the duration and magnitude drop especially for the ring eclipse of July 20-21 are sensitive to the difference of the orbital elements" 4.
Ring transmission. A ring is not an opaque disc. Ring occultation work converts the observed transmission of a ring into normal optical depthnormal optical depthThe optical depth of a planetary ring measured perpendicular to the ring plane. Light crossing the ring at elevation above the plane is reduced to the fraction , and to at normal incidence. with 17:
where is the ring opening angle to the light source. Inverting it for sunlight reaching a satellite through a ring gives , with the Sun's opening angle. This inversion is the same relation applied to the Sun as source, not a formula taken from an eclipse paper. With the fact sheet's of 0.4 to 2.5 for ring B and , ranges from to , which is effectively zero. With of 0.05 for the inner C ring, , or 0.56 18. A ring-eclipse predictor therefore needs the radial optical-depth profile, not only the edge radii. A satellite in the C ring's shadow loses part of its light, while in ring B's shadow it disappears.
From a sky position to a ring radius. A transmission needs the ring-plane radius at which the line of sight, or the sunlight, crosses the rings. The steps below are derived from the chapter 45 geometry, the fact-sheet edge radii and optical depths, and the transmission relation above. No source cited here prints them as one procedure 19 18 17.
- Take the offset of the star or satellite from Saturn's centre on the sky, towards the east and towards the north, in arcseconds. Rotate it by the ring position angle , counted from north through east, so that runs along the projected northern semi-minor axis and along the major axis:
- A ring-plane point at radius and azimuth projects to . This is why the edges are ellipses with , where and are Meeus's full axes and is half of for an edge. The line of sight through therefore meets the ring plane at which becomes kilometres at 725.27 km per arcsecond at 1 au, multiplied by in au (see the theories note).
- The rings cover the body only when the body lies on the far side of the ring plane from the observer, so that its height above the ring plane has the opposite sign to . Otherwise .
- Find the edge crossings as the instants when equals an edge radius from the fact sheet, by root-finding along the body's track. Between crossings take from a radial optical-depth profile.
- For a body seen through the rings from the Earth, . For a ring shadow on a satellite, repeat steps 1 to 4 as seen from the Sun. Use offsets on the plane perpendicular to the Sun direction, the projected ring pole as the axis, and in place of , so that .
The thin-sheet relation fails as or approaches zero. The slant path then grows without limit, and the ring's finite thickness, listed in the fact sheet, sets the geometry instead 18.
The ring shadow on the globe. The same and from Meeus chapter 45 place the shadow of the rings on Saturn's disc and the shadow of the globe on the rings 19. Together these angles give the Sun's direction in the ring frame relative to the Earth's. Observers record both shadows: in 2025 the ring shadow on the globe in April and the globe's shadow on the rings by late May 3. When and have opposite signs, the Earth sees the unlit face of the rings, as in 2025 between March 23 and May 6 3. None of the sources cited here gives a closed formula for the ring-shadow outline on the oblate globe. It is a ray-ellipsoid intersection for each ring edge.
What mutual events measure
The photometric reduction used for PHESAT09PHESATIMCCE's international campaigns to observe phenomena of Saturn's satellites at each Saturnian equinox: PHESAT95, PHESAT09 and the PHEMU-PHESAT campaign of 2024 to 2027. PHEURA07 was the Uranian equivalent. models the flux as 8:
where and are the differences of the two satellites' planetocentric coordinates projected on the tangent plane, is a model of the phenomenon equal to 1 outside the event, and is the flux outside the event. The paper writes this model as S. It is renamed here because is the ellipsoid auxiliary elsewhere in this corpus. The theory gives for each photometric sample. The method solves, by linearised least squares 8:
for the offsets , and . The offsets are the O − C of the theory, here TASS 1.7 8. integrates the reflected light over the visible hemisphere. It includes wavelength-dependent albedo, a rough-surface scattering law and solar limb darkening. It uses Buratti's combined photometric function 8:
with and the cosines of the incidence and emission angles, the surface phase function and the weight between the two terms. The paper takes and from Buratti (1984): for Mimas 0.7 and 1.1, for Dione 1.0 and 1.0 8. The result of each event is one relative position, the angular differences and at the instant of closest apparent approach, which are heliocentric for eclipses 8.
The light curve does not fix two things. The albedo pattern of the satellites trades against position. The model therefore needs Voyager and ground-based photometry 8. And the prediction's own impact parameter fixes the depth, so a missed grazing event is itself a measurement 7.
The campaigns and their results
| Season | Predictions | Observations | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1980 | Aksnes and Franklin (1978), nearly 300 events from October 1979 to August 1980, with ring eclipses 20 | 14 observations 8 | Post-fit residuals of 80 km, about 0.01 arcseconds 1 |
| 1995 (PHESAT95) | Arlot and Thuillot (1993), 182 mutual events and 163 eclipses by Saturn. Aksnes and Dourneau (1995), 198 events 20 | 66 observations 8 | Catalogue by Thuillot et al. 2001 and reduction by Noyelles et al. 2003, as cited in 8 |
| 2009 (PHESAT09) | Arlot and Thuillot (2008), 441 events, 123 easily observable, TASS and Do93 7 | 33 observations, 26 light curves processed 8 | RMS O − C 48.5 and 21.7 mas against TASS 1.7, 16.4 and 20.7 against Lainey 8 |
| 2024 to 2026 | IMCCE web predictions for May 2024 to February 2026 13 | Campaign under way at the page's last update, 2026 January 26 13 | No published reduction found up to 2026 October |
Before 1980 only scattered visual records exist. Comrie published an algorithm for eclipses by Saturn in 1934. The BAA Handbook printed dates of Saturnian phenomena for favourable seasons 20. Dourneau's 1980 observations of two occultations showed O − C of one and three minutes against Aksnes and Franklin's predictions 20. That gap measures how poor the 1970s ephemerides were.
In 1995 Titan eclipsed Mimas, and the two shadows were seen to cross the rings. Hubbard, Consolmagno and colleagues used the shadow photometry to probe Titan's atmosphere 20. Titan is the one main satellite with an atmosphere, so its eclipse and occultation edges are soft 7. An eclipse model that treats Titan as a sharp sphere of radius 2575 km 21 will misplace its contacts.
The 2009 season also showed how the planet hampers the observations. The ring "prevents us from observing the events close to the planet", and only relative photometry was generally possible 8. The site table lists 19 site codes, from Greece and Spain to New Zealand, Chile and China 8.
Published prediction products
| Product | What it lists | Theory | Source read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bureau des longitudes annual supplement, for example the 1996 edition | Configuration curves good to 10 to 15 arcseconds, phenomena by the planet as centre-based instants, mutual events with type, flux drop and duration | Dourneau 1993 with VSOP82 | 5 |
| Arlot and Thuillot 2008, A&A, with CDS tables | Mutual events, eclipses of Titan and Hyperion by Saturn, per-site visibility counts | TASS and Do93 | 7 |
| IMCCE PHEMU-PHESAT pages and the satellites-events form | Dates and local visibility, observing protocol, observation form | Not stated on the page | 13 |
| MULTI-SAT (Sternberg Astronomical Institute mirror) | Search for mutual events and eclipses by the planet | User's choice of five theories | 22 |
| PDS Ring-Moon Systems Node, 1995 RPX campaign | Arlot and Thuillot's classical-satellite predictions, Nicholson's small-satellite eclipse times | As supplied by the predictors | 23 |
| BAA Saturn section apparition notes | Observations, not predictions: dated transits and shadow transits | Not applicable | 3 |
Nicholson's predictions for the small inner satellites were revised after the May and August 1995 events, and "The Prometheus event times changed rather significantly" 23. Small satellites had ephemerides poor enough that the first observations of a season corrected the rest of its predictions. No primary source in this corpus states which theory Sky & Telescope's Saturn satellite tools and Titan transit tables use.
What the public tools model
JPL Horizons. Observer quantity 12 gives a visibility code for a satellite against its primary: transiting, occulted, partial or total umbral eclipse, or occulted while eclipsed 9. The manual states its limits: "The radius of both primary and target body is taken to be the equatorial value ... Atmospheric effects and oblateness aspect are NOT currently considered. Light-time is considered" 9. It adds that "Rise/set and satellite eclipse circumstances may not be accurate to less than a minute since factors such as the primarys' oblateness and atmosphere are not currently modelled" 9. Horizons therefore treats Saturn as a sphere of its equatorial radius, 60,268 km in the IAU value 21. Near the poles its occultation contacts sit up to 5,904 km, the equatorial-polar difference, outside the true limb. It has no penumbral code and no ring.
SPICE. The occultation finder gfoclt_c handles finite discs as two ellipsoids, so it can use Saturn's triaxial radii from the PCK 10 21. It has no ring model. A ring eclipse needs custom code.
Stellarium. Shadow casters for a body are its parent, its own satellites and its sibling satellites, each "with its equatorial radius" as a sphere. The shader takes at most four: "Our shader doesn't support more than 4 planets creating shadow" 11. This code renders shadows. It does not compute contact times.
Cartes du Ciel (Skychart) and Miriade. Cartes du Ciel computes positions with TASS and draws the system 24. Miriade's ephemcc service returns positions with NOE. It does not list phenomena 25 26. IMCCE's separate satellites-events form lists phenomena. It is a script-driven page whose theory is not stated on the page 13.
Sources compared
| Source | What it gives that the others do not |
|---|---|
| Arlot and Thuillot 2008 | The event types, column-by-column definitions of contacts and drops, selection criteria and the TASS versus Do93 timing spread |
| Arlot, Lainey and Thuillot 2006 | The light-time convention for eclipses, stated in words |
| IMCCE 1996 booklet | Centre-based timing convention and the 14 s to 450 s contact spans |
| Arlot et al. 2012 | The photometric model of a mutual event, the astrometric output, the campaign counts and O − C |
| Soma 1992 | A complete ring-eclipse sequence for Iapetus and the sensitivity to orbital elements |
| PDS RPX letter, BAA 2025 notes | Exact ring-plane crossing dates and modern dated shadow-transit observations |
| Horizons manual, Stellarium Planet.cpp | Documented simplifications in the most used public tools |
What a developer should do
- Compute crossings first. Find the dates when the saturnicentric latitudes of the Earth and the Sun, and , pass zero. Mutual events exist only within months of these dates, and globe phenomena of the inner satellites only within a year or so 7.
- Model Saturn as an oblate spheroid and its shadow as an elliptical cone using . Do not copy Horizons's spherical simplification for contact times 9 21.
- Compute eclipses as occultations of the Sun seen from the eclipsed body, with Sun-to-body light-time, and report both penumbral and umbral contacts 6.
- State the timing convention. Use either centre-based instants, as IMCCE's booklet does, or first and last contact. Give times in TT and UTC 5 7.
- For ring eclipses use a radial optical-depth profile and , with the ring-plane radius from the sky-plane offset as set out above, and present the result as a flux, not a yes-or-no event 17 18.
- Carry two ephemerides, for example SAT441 and TASS 1.7, and publish the difference in event times as the prediction's uncertainty, as Arlot and Thuillot did with TASS and Do93 7.
- Treat Titan's edges as soft and flag its contact times as approximate 20.
- Read first: Arlot and Thuillot 2008, then Arlot et al. 2012, then Soma 1992.
What this changes
The solar-eclipse pipeline's shadow-cone machinery carries over to satellite eclipses, with three additions. The occulting body is oblate. A ring adds a partially transparent annulus to the shadow. The light-time convention changes, because the Sun-to-body and body-to-Earth legs are both long. The event-search layer gains a seasonal gate on and , which has no counterpart for the Earth and the Moon.
Open questions
- PHESAT95 catalogue. Obtain Thuillot et al. 2001, A&A 371, 343, and Noyelles et al. 2003 for the 1995 O − C statistics, which this note cites only through the 2012 paper.
- 2024 to 2026 results. Obtain the first reduction of the 2024 to 2026 Saturnian mutual events when IMCCE publishes it.
- IMCCE satellites-events form. Record which ephemeris the form at
ssp.imcce.fr/forms/satellites-eventsuses for Saturn and how it defines contacts. - Ring-eclipse code. Find a public implementation that predicts satellite eclipses by the rings with an optical-depth profile, or confirm that none exists, starting from Soma's method in Peters (1975), Celestial Mechanics 12, 99.
- Titan's effective shadow radius. Obtain Hubbard et al. 1996 (Lunar and Planetary Science 27, 569) for the radius at which Titan's shadow edge sits in eclipse photometry.
References
- 1primary Nicholson, P. D. et al., PDS Ring-Moon Systems Node, Saturn RPX 1995-1996 Dear Colleague letter (overview.html) Read in full. Sun ring-plane crossing 1995 Nov 19, Earth crossings 1995 May 21, 1995 Aug 11 and 1996 Feb 11, about 2 hours advance of the crossing over 15 years from ring-plane precession, and the 80 km (about 0.01 arcsecond) post-fit residuals of the 1980 mutual events.
- 2primary NASA/JPL/Space Science Institute, Photojournal PIA10563, Shadows on the Move Read 2026-10-17 (the photojournal.jpl.nasa.gov/catalog/PIA10563 address redirects here). States that the Sun crosses Saturn's ring plane on 2009 Aug 10.
- 3trade British Astronomical Association, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune Section, Saturn 2025 Apparition Notes Read 2026-10-17. Earth ring-plane crossing 2025 Mar 23, Sun crossing 2025 May 6, and dated observations of Titan shadow transits at 16-day steps from May to September 2025, plus Tethys, Dione and Rhea transits.
- 4peer-reviewed Soma, M. (1992). Eclipses of Iapetus in 1993. Astronomy and Astrophysics 265, L21-L24 ADS scan read through OCR. Source of the ring-eclipse event list of 1993 May 1-2 and July 20-21, the two element sets (Taylor and Shen 1988, Dourneau 1987) whose mid-eclipse times differ by 11 to 32 minutes, the Peters (1975) method, the 696,000 km solar radius, DE200, the Esposito et al. ring dimensions, and Reitsema's 1977 observation.
- 5primary Arlot, J.-E., Derouazi, Th., Ruatti, Ch., Thuillot, W. (1995). Satellites de Saturne I a VIII : phenomenes et configurations pour 1996. Bureau des longitudes Read the bilingual front matter and the phenomena and mutual phenomena explanations. Source of the event codes Pd, Pf, Od, Of, Ed, Ef, Im, Em, the rule that times refer to the satellite centre, the 14 s to 450 s contact-to-contact durations, the use of Dourneau 1993 and VSOP82, and the 10 to 15 arcsecond reading accuracy of the configuration curves.
- 6peer-reviewed Arlot, J.-E., Lainey, V., Thuillot, W. (2006). Predictions of the mutual events of the Uranian satellites occurring in 2006-2009. Astronomy and Astrophysics 456, 1173-1179 Read in full from the HAL PDF. Source of the 42-year cycle, GUST86 and LA06, their internal and external errors, the 500 km (0.04 arcsecond) model spread, the 5 to 30 minute spread in mid-times, and the rule that an eclipse is computed as an occultation of the Sun seen from the eclipsed satellite with light-time.
- 7peer-reviewed Arlot, J.-E. and Thuillot, W. (2008). Predictions of the events of the satellites of Saturn during the 2009 equinox. Astronomy and Astrophysics 485, 293-298 Read in full from the HAL PDF. Source of the four event types, TASS and Do93 predictions, 441 events from 2008 Sep 9 to 2010 Jun 18 with 123 easily observable, the 10 to 30 s spread in times of maximum, the 0.1 arcsecond to 600 km scale, the column definitions (TT, penumbral and umbral contacts, flux drop, impact parameter), and the Titan shadow transit window 2009 Feb 24 to 2010 Jan 9.
- 8peer-reviewed Arlot, J.-E., Emelyanov, N. V., Lainey, V. et al. (2012). Astrometric results of observations of mutual occultations and eclipses of the Saturnian satellites in 2009. Astronomy and Astrophysics 544, A29 Read in full from the HAL PDF (CC BY 4.0). Source of the observation counts 14, 66 and 33 for 1980, 1995 and 2009, the photometric model E(t) = K S(X, Y), the O-C residuals against TASS 1.7, Lainey and SAT351, and the NOE-6-2011-MAIN accuracy statement.
- 9primary JPL Horizons System Manual Read live. Observer table quantities, DE440/DE441, satellite eclipse circumstances; no solar eclipse product.
- 10primary NAIF CSPICE gfoclt_c documentation Official documentation read 2026-09-30. Detailed Input accepts ELLIPSOID+ELLIPSOID, ELLIPSOID+POINT, DSK+POINT. POINT requires ANY; exceptions 9 and 14 reject the proposed DSK+finite-Sun FULL search. Cached HTML SHA256 7aef5446d1b4a396bbed8eaba1201da94a2aa118fcaa757a063b7080abf33d3a.
- 11company Stellarium, src/core/modules/Planet.cpp at commit 77d52ea34a6b6c78dc544938c3903b6fcf314e93 Read getCandidatesForShadow and the shadow uniform setup. Shadow casters are the parent, own satellites and sibling satellites, each treated as a sphere of its equatorial radius, at most four per body.
- 12primary NASA, Astronomy Picture of the Day, 2009 August 25: Equinox at Saturn Read 2026-10-17 (redirects to science.nasa.gov). Gives Saturn's equinox as 2009 August 10, with a Cassini image taken a few hours before it.
- 13primary IMCCE (Laboratoire Temps Espace), Observational campaign of the mutual phenomena of Saturn's and Jupiter's satellites, PHEMU-PHESAT 2024 to 2027 Read 2026-10-17, page last updated 2026 Jan 26. Saturn equinox 2025 May 7, Saturnian mutual phenomena from May 2024 to February 2026, 2009 campaign with 33 phenomena observed.
- 14primary Williams, D. R., NASA NSSDCA, Saturn Fact Sheet Read 2026-10-17. Equatorial radius 60,268 km and polar radius 54,364 km at the 1 bar level, flattening 0.09796, J2 16,298 x 10^-6, tropical period 10,746.94 days, obliquity 26.73 degrees.
- 15company Keys, S., GitHub, meeus/v3/saturnmoons/saturnmoons.go (Go transcription of Meeus, Astronomical Algorithms, chapter 46 Positions of the Satellites of Saturn, MIT) Read in full. Source of the chapter 46 satellite series as code: time arguments t1 to t11, the Mimas to Iapetus element series, the rotation through 28.0817 and 168.8112 degrees, the D angle, the per-satellite constants K (20947 to 91820) and the factor W = Δ/(Δ + Z/2475).
- 16primary NAIF, Aberration Corrections Required Reading Read reception light-time equations and stellar aberration on 2026-09-30. Target emission state minus observer reception state differs from the observer-velocity aberration correction.
- 17peer-reviewed Afigbo, V. M., Hedman, M. M. et al. (2025). Unveiling What Makes Saturn Ring: Quantifying the Amplitudes of Saturn's Planetary Normal-Mode Oscillations and Trends in C-Ring Properties Using Kronoseismology (VII). Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets 130, e2024JE008710 Read the method section in the arXiv version (arXiv:2502.19265); journal DOI 10.1029/2024JE008710 from Crossref. Source of the conversion from transmission T to normal optical depth, tau_n = -sin abs(B) ln T, with B the ring opening angle to the light source.
- 18primary Williams, D. R., NASA NSSDCA, Saturnian Rings Fact Sheet Read 2026-10-17. Ring edge radii (C inner 74,658 km, B inner 91,975 km, B outer 117,507 km, A inner 122,340 km, A outer 136,780 km), optical depths (C 0.05 to 0.35, B 0.4 to 2.5, Cassini Division 0 to 0.1, A 0.4 to 1.0) and thicknesses.
- 19company Keys, S., GitHub, meeus/v3/saturnring/saturnring.go (Go transcription of Meeus, Astronomical Algorithms, chapter 45 The Ring of Saturn, MIT) Read in full. Source of the chapter 45 step list as code: the ring-plane inclination and node polynomials, the two-pass light-time loop, the B, B′, ΔU and P formulas, a = 375.35 arcseconds divided by Δ, b = a sin abs(B), and the four inner-edge fractions 0.8801, 0.8599, 0.6650, 0.5486. The book itself was not read, so constants are quoted from this transcription.
- 20primary Arlot, J.-E., Tanga, P., Thuillot, W. (1998). PHEMU Technical Note 9: Bibliographic note about mutual phenomena in the Saturn, Uranus and Pluto-Charon systems. IMCCE Read in full. Secondary account of Saturnian events from 1909 to 1997 and of the Pluto-Charon events from 1985 to 1990, with a reference list. Used where the original papers were not read, and said so in the text.
- 21primary NAIF, generic_kernels/pck/pck00011.tpc (IAU rotation and shape constants) Read for BODY699, 606, 608, 799, 801, 901 and 999. Saturn radii 60268, 60268, 54364 km. Saturn pole RA 40.589 - 0.036T, Dec 83.537 - 0.004T degrees. Titan 2575.15 km, Iapetus 745.7 by 712.1 km, Triton 1352.6 km, Charon 606 km (current value, replacing the 605 km of the 2009 IAU report), Pluto 1188.3 km. Also, for Jupiter: Read the radii. BODY599_RADII = 71492, 71492, 66854 km; Galilean satellite radii; Sun 695700 km.
- 22primary IMCCE and SAI, Natural Satellites Ephemeride Server MULTI-SAT, mutual occultations and eclipses of the satellites of Saturn Read 2026-10-17. Offers five theory sets for S1 to S8: Lainey et al. (2015), Lainey (2011), Vienne and Duriez, Dourneau, and Harper and Taylor.
- 23primary PDS Ring-Moon Systems Node, The 1995-1996 Saturn Observing Campaign Read in full. Names Arlot and Thuillot as predictors of classical-satellite events and Nicholson as predictor of small-satellite eclipses, with revised reappearance times after May and August 1995.
- 24company Chevalley, P., Cartes du Ciel (Skychart), skychart/cu_plansat.pas at commit 784d5a988882bb7d8902b65c9591d226a14688b2 Read the per-system header comments. A Pascal rewrite of Xplanet's libmoons: Sinclair (1989) for Phobos and Deimos, TASS for Mimas to Iapetus, Zadunaisky elements for Phoebe, GUST86 for Uranus, Jacobson (1990) for Triton and Nereid, and Tholen (1985) for Charon. Also, for Jupiter: Read the Jupiter satellite functions. jupsat implements E5 from Lieske (1998) with fuller coefficients than Meeus. JupSat switches to CALCEPH SPK files when enabled.
- 25primary IMCCE, Miriade ephemcc output headers for Titan, Iapetus, Hyperion, Phoebe, Ariel, Triton and Phobos (queried 2026-10-17) Read the returned headers. Saturnian and Uranian satellites report INPOP19 + LTE-NOE, Triton and Phobos report INPOP19 + LTE-SAI, and Charon was not found in the solar system database.
- 26primary IMCCE, Miriade ephemcc web service documentation Read 2026-10-17. Parameters theory (INPOP, DE403 to DE431), teph, tcoor and observer.